Research

Tech in the 2020s: what’s on the cards in the decade ahead?

By Andy Gardner
CFA Investment Manager, Global Equities - Equities Sydney, Australia

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As we begin a new decade, one thing is undeniable: technology bears a far greater influence on our daily lives and investment portfolios than it ever has.

The impact has been so spectacular that the dispersion between companies, individuals, and investors embracing technology and those who haven't has never been wider. It is unsurprising therefore that understanding where we are in this cycle, and how best to navigate it, dominates company boardrooms and investment forums alike.

In this feature-length report, we review the technology landscape from multiple angles. From a top-down perspective, we find that technology's influence will likely be even greater this decade in relation to areas such as how we work and our ability to tackle climate change, versus the 10 years just passed.

Industries such as healthcare and education are set to be some of the most transformed by technology, having been among the slowest to ride the adoption curve thus far. On the other hand, we find that some trends are already beginning to mature, while a number of companies will face increasing scrutiny from regulation and growth may succumb to the gravitational pull of the law of large numbers.

With a recession bearing down on the economy, and indexes increasingly dictated by a few large companies, we believe continuing to deliver strong risk-adjusted returns will not only require a more targeted approach, but also differentiated holdings.

Some of the most attractive ways to invest in the next 10 years are likely to be found in specific technologies, profit pools, and industry verticals that are generally less well understood - but wherein many of the strongest competitive advantages and structural growth stories are to be found. All this considered, individual company fundamentals matter more than ever before.

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Important notes

This article has been prepared to provide general information and does not constitute 'financial advice' for the purposes of the Financial Advisors Act 2008 (Act). An individual investor should, before making any investment decisions, consider the information available in the relevant Product Disclosure Statement and seek professional advice. While every care has been taken in the preparation of this document, AMP Capital Investors (New Zealand) Limited and the AMP Group (together, 'AMP') make no guarantee that the information supplied is accurate, complete or timely and do not make any warranties or representations in respect of results gained from its use. The information is not intended to infer that current or past returns are indicative of future returns. The views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of AMP. These views are subject to change depending on market conditions and other factors.

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